How Your Property Taxes are calculated
Third quarter property taxes are due today. This topic interests us all and yet it is probably the least understood aspect of owning real estate. This article will attempt to explain how property taxes are calculated. I will also make an estimate for the tax rate for Marblehead for FY2016.
Let’s get started.
Tax year
The fiscal year (FY) runs from July 1 to June 30. Thus we are currently in FY2015.
What sales are used as the basis for assessments?
Assessments for the FY2015 are based upon values as of January 1, 2014, using data from calendar year 2013 sales.
It is crucial to understand this time lag. Sales occurring in 2014 will be the basis for FY2016 assessments to be announced in late 2015.
How much can taxes increase each year?
Asking this suggests you are familiar with Proposition 2 1/2, which limits the $ amount that can be raised from property taxes to a 2 1/2% increase from the prior year plus any new growth in the tax base such as new construction. Note that Prop 2 1/2 does not apply to debt exclusions or general overrides. And note also that this limit applies to the overall taxes collected, not to individual tax bills.
Click here for a brief explanation of Prop 2 1/2 on the Marblehead Town website.
Now let’s show how Marblehead’s FY2015 tax rate was calculated. Here’s a table:
The starting point is the amount of the levy for the prior year, i.e. FY2014, of $52.46 million. To this is added the allowed 2 1/2% increase and also new growth, taking the total to $54.1 million. Now add on debt exclusions of $4.9 million bringing the total levy for FY2015 to just over $59 million.
For FY2015 the total assessed value of all property – residential, commercial and personal – is $5.3 billion. Divide the tax levy, $59 million, by this $5.3 billion, and the result is a tax rate of $11.08 (per $thousand).
FY2016 Tax Rate estimate
In January this year the Town Administrator presented the FY2016 Financial Outlook to the Board of Selectmen (see AAA Marblehead). This contained projections for the tax levy for FY2016 as follows:
Now we know how much tax needs to be raised. The tax rate will be calculated by dividing this number by the Assessed Value of all real estate for FY2016, i.e. based upon sales that occurred during calendar year 2014. In 2014 the median price of a SFH in Marblehead increased by 10% while condo prices were stable. I am going to go with an 8% increase in Assessed Values to $5.75 billion.
This will give a FY2016 tax rate of …….. $10.65 vs the FY2015 rate of $11.08.The only other factor would be any additional debt exclusions approved by voters.
Bear in mind that the tax rate will depend upon the actual Assessed Values for FY2016 and these may well differ from my estimate, but I feel that $10.65 is a reasonable number at this stage.
Are overrides included in the tax rate?
In asking this question of several people I discovered that most assumed that debt exclusions and general overrides were a separate item. They are not. They are included in the tax rate that is announced each year. Here is the breakdown of the tax rate for the last three years with my estimate for FY2016:
What is the difference between a debt exclusion and general override?
Here are some quotes from the MA Department of revenue website:
“An override is a voted increase in the levy limit. The amount of the override becomes a permanent part of the levy limit base.The budgets adopted by town meetings in Massachusetts are affected by the Proposition 2 1⁄2 limitations upon local property tax levies. So-called overrides of these tax limitations,which allow for additional taxing capacity to fund the budget, may only be approved by a general referendum vote of all town residents.”
“A debt exclusion creates a temporary increase in the levy limit to fund the payment of debt service costs for capital projects funded by borrowing. The additional amount for the debt service is added to the levy limit for the life of the debt.”
Thus an override to fund an operating deficit becomes part of the permanent tax levy and increases occur each year from this higher base.
A debt service exclusion is temporary and disappears when the specific debt is repaid.
Marblehead’s FY2016 Financial Outlook stated: ” there is no need to consider any permanent overrides to fund the town’s operating budget. This has been the case now for 10 years.”
What does Marblehead’s debt exclusion cover?
By far the largest proportion (72%) of the FY2015 exclusion of $4.9 million relates to school costs at MHS, Village and Glover. Next at 17% is the Causeway Seawall. The balance of 11% comes from a variety of sources including the new fire truck, Lead Mills, Stoney Brook clean up, and the Landfill/Transfer Station work.
What effect would general overrides have on the tax rate?
Marblehead’s annual budget is around $70 million (property taxes contribute about three-quarters of the total revenue raised). What if MHD had a budget shortfall and asked residents to vote for a $1 million override? The next table shows the impact if this were to happen for three years in a row:
While it is highly unlikely to impossible that this would happen in Marblehead for a number of reasons, you can see the impact sustained deficits could have on a town’s tax rate.
Conclusion
Low tax rates don’t just happen: they are the result of wise and prudent financial management by a town and a concerned and involved citizenry. In Marblehead we have both.
GO PATS !!!!!!!!!
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
When is the best time to sell my house?
I posted an article Reasons to sell your home in winter recently giving the pros and cons of selling in winter. Following up I am adding a table which shows the number of accepted offers by month and price range for Marblehead SFHs in 2014.
January 2015 has started quite well with 13 accepted offers with list prices from $400,000 to $1.8 million. Brokers reported strong turn out at Open Houses, as buyers looked to take advantage of the unexpected drop in mortgage rates. (more…)
Marblehead Winter Wonderland after the Blizzard
How magical is Marblehead in the aftermath of a snowstorm? It seems to me that the “day after” always sees beautiful blue skies and the town looks like a film set.
I can’t figure out how to post a direct link but to see a video of Marblehead after the storm click on MHTV to go to Marblehead Community Access’s Facebook page and view the video posted at 11:48 p.m. on January 28.
I know it’s a little effort, but it’s well worth it. (more…)
Tom Brady’s Boston real estate adventures
This The greater Boston real estate adventures of Tom Brady article from boston.curbed.com is much more interesting than ones about you know what.
Roll on Sunday. GO PATS!!!
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Trulia’s “statistics” now even worse
My post Why I don’t rely on Trulia last week generated a lot of views, so I was intrigued to see what the weekly Marblehead Weekend Update would bring this week. (more…)
Luxury condo shortage in Boston !
It may come as a surprise – it did to me – but despite the booming luxury condo market in the last few years, Boston is actually facing a shortage of luxury condos, according to this article Luxury condo shortage – believe it or not by Scott Van Vorhis on boston.com. (more…)
No writing this week
My outburst of articles last Friday-Monday was, in part, because I was having hand surgery this week and I thought that typing afterwards would be difficult.
It is. I hope to be able to resume typing next week. (more…)
The Mortgage Mistake?
In this article The Mortgage Mistake from a recent issue of The New Yorker, sent to me by fellow Harborside Sotheby’s agent, Joe McKane, the writer argues that incentives to encourage home ownership – including subsidized mortgage rates and tax deduction of mortgage interest – do little to increase the number of homeowners. Other Western countries have similar rates of home ownership without the same range of incentives.
Almost all the economic benefits of the mortgage deduction go to people earning more than $100,000 a year. Result: people overinvest in housing and underinvest in other types of asset. And because people tend to invest more in housing when the economy is doing well and less when it is doing poorly, housing tends to amplify the economy’s ups and downs.
The trigger for this article is the new 3% down mortgage offered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac for first-time home buyers (see my recent 3% down mortgages are back post.) Default rates for mortgages with down payments of 3-10% are almost 50% higher than for those with down payment above 10%. Thus, the New Yorker writer argues, while the new mortgages may turn more low-income people into homeowners, it will also likely increase the default rate.
Two questions come to my mind: is increased home ownership an unarguably good thing? And does mortgage interest deduction encourage home ownership?
(more…)
Reasons to Sell your Home in Winter
Today’s Boston Globe carries this article Why selling in winter may be a good idea.
In addition to the benefits mentioned – less inventory means less competition for sellers, while those buyers who are out there are serious – I would add that mortgage rates have dropped sharply already this year and are not far off record lows. See my Mortgage rates: how low can they go? post from yesterday. (more…)
Why I don’t rely on Trulia
Let me start by saying that I think sites like Trulia and Zillow provide a useful service in terms of informing buyers about things like Open Houses. I also like the feature on Zillow that shows the price and tax history of a property listed for sale.
Where I have a problem with such sites is when they quote “statistics”. The danger with statistics always lies with the way they can be presented to give an impression of authority even when the statistics themselves are meaningless. It is always, always essential to be clear what is included in quoted statistics. If it is not clear do not rely on the numbers quoted!
What drives this comment? I had an email yesterday from Trulia entitled Marblehead Weekend Update. Prominently displayed was a box saying:
What the you know what? $289,000!!! (more…)
AAA Marblehead: Finances stay in the Black
New town Administrator, and former Finance Director, John McGinn presented the FY2016 (July 2015 – June 2016) Financial Outlook this week.
The headlines are:
– Marblehead is one of just 22 Massachusetts communities rated AAA by Standard & Poors
– As has been the case for the past 10 years there is “no need to consider any permanent (tax) overrides to fund the town’s operating budget.”
– Marblehead enjoys “No deficits; strong budget oversight; and appropriate revenue estimates, all of which allow us to avoid fiscal emergencies.”
– 78% of the Budget revenues derive from property taxes, 9% from State Aid, 5% from local receipts (excise taxes, permits etc.) and 8% from free cash and enterprise payments.
This presentation will form the basis of the formal Budget to be voted at Town Meeting on May 4th.
Here is the Marblehead FY16 Budget presentation. (more…)
Mortgage rates: how low can they go?
Remember the forecasts of 5% mortgages? 6% mortgages?
Well here we are in January 2015 and the 30 year mortgage rate is well below 4%. In fact I was in a Bank of America branch this week and saw a sign for 30 year mortgages at 3.5% (with points), while the national average reported by Freddie Mac on Thursday was 3.66%.
The benchmark for the 30 year mortgage is the 10 year US Treasury yield. What does that mean? In general, banks sell the mortgages they issue to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac who in turn package them into pools and sell them to investors. Because mortgages have higher risks than US Treasuries, investors demand a higher yield than they would accept from Treasuries. The difference in yield between mortgage securities and Treasuries is called the spread.
This chart shows the spread from 2005 to 2014. I have summarized the high and low spread for each year in the table below the chart. For most of the period the spread was between 1.50% and 2.00%. It was over 2.00% throughout the crisis year of 2008 and did not drop below 2.00% until April 2009, but has been below 2.00% almost the entire period since then. What does this mean for mortgage rates?
Sources: US Treasury, Freddie Mac
The 10Y Treasury yield on Friday was 1.84%, so adding a spread of 1.50 – 2.00% would produce a 30 year FRM of 3.34 – 3.84%. And we are at 3.66%.
Where does the 10 Y Treasury yield go from here?
I think every expert forecaster has been wrong on US interest rates. The assumption was that once the Federal Reserve stopped buying mortgage backed securities and Treasuries (Quantitative Easing), interest rates throughout the economy would rise, driven by a strengthening economy and hence the demand for loans to finance business and mortgages. What has got in the way of that forecast, in simple terms, has been: geopolitical risk (Crimea, Ukraine, terrorism) which always leads to a flight to safe investments, and US Treasuries are regarded as the safest investment available worldwide; and grave concerns about deflation in many parts of the world, but especially in Europe, where a huge expansion of QE is expected to be announced next week.
The US is growing economically quite strongly and has stopped its QE program, while Europe is stagnating and about to ramp up its QE program. One of the consequences of this divergence has been a stronger US dollar which is one of the factors behind the collapse in commodity prices.
And on top of this, which in itself fuels the demand for US Treasuries as a safe haven in a strong currency, the yield on US Treasuries is higher than that available in many other countries.
Predictions
As I have said many times predicting the future is very difficult! Very few countries in Europe have even started on the structural changes necessary to get their economies moving, and many commentators fear that QE is seen as a free lunch, when the only thing that is certain is that it will lead to even greater debt in already over indebted countries. No wonder the US is seen as a safe haven!
It does seem that the biggest concern worldwide is avoiding deflation and it is hard to see how interest rates can rise against that background. In the beginning of 2015, buyers of homes in the US have been given an unexpected opportunity to finance their purchases at interest rates close to the lowest ever seen. Could mortgage rates go even lower in the coming weeks? Certainly, but with the time lag involved when buying a home, trying to time interest rates, like trying to time the stock market, is unlikely to be a successful strategy. Rates are very low: take advantage of them!
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
What does $27 million buy in Nantucket?
Answer: a 5,000 sf, 5 bedroom home on 1.5 acres, but….. it is on a cliff overlooking Nantucket Sound.
8 homes in total sold for over $10 million in 2014.
It may not be Nantucket but the North Shore offers great value in oceanfront property and I expect a strong market for such properties in 2015.
Read this Nantucket mansion sales through the roof article from boston.com.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Would the Olympics be good for the Boston area real estate market?
The decision will not be made until 2017 but I looked to see if there was any data on the impact hosting the Olympics has on the host city’s real estate market.
This Olympics: a win for the housing market? article from yourmoney.com looks at the impact the Olympics have had on real estate markets in recent Olympics and argues that the impact is most significant in smaller cities which implement major infrastructure improvements.
f you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Salem Housing Market 2014 Review
Here are the highlights for the Salem market for 2014. Note the difference between the SFH and condo markets when compared with the prior peak.
Single Family Homes (SFH)
– the median SFH price increased 7% to $346,750, less than 1% below the 2005 peak of $349,000.
– sales dropped 7% to 210, still the 3rd highest year this century
– the ASR* fell sharply from 92.5% to 82.9%, an indication of rising prices
Condos
– the median condo price also increased 7% to $247,000, but is still more than 11% below the peak of $279,000 in 2005
– sales were down slightly and are still well below the levels seen in the 2003-06 period
– the ASR* fell from 92.3% to 86.2%, an indication of rising prices
Tax rate
– the FY2015 tax rate is $16.41, a decrease from $16.73 in FY2014, but the average tax bill will increase nearly 5% or by $227 for SFHs.
I will publish a fuller market report in the near future.
* The ASR is the Assessed Value (AV) divided by the Sales Price (SP).If the ASR is below 100% it means that properties are selling for more than their AV. Conversely, properties selling below their AV will have an ASR above 100%.
– As we all hope our properties are worth more than the AV we look for an ASR below 100% as a positive sign. In a period of rising prices the ASR is likely to be falling. So what we, as homeowners, want is an ASR below 100% and falling
– Remember that AVs are a lagging indicator: the tax bills just announced for FY2015 are based on actual sales in 2013. Thus the 2014 sales data, reported in this review, will be the basis for FY2016 assessments. And remember, also, that falling tax rates rarely translate into falling tax bills!
– I will be publishing a report in the near future on the average tax bill per city and town in Essex County to go with my recent Essex County 2015 property tax rates report.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home, or have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
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