Essex County Inventory declines
Somebody once said a week is a long time in politics. So also in real estate. A week ago the focus was on the limited inventory and the surprising drop in mortgage rates which was giving buyers another great opportunity.
This week the focus is on snow, snow and yes snow. Just imagine how bad these storms would feel today had not the Patriots won last night? (more…)
How Your Property Taxes are calculated
Third quarter property taxes are due today. This topic interests us all and yet it is probably the least understood aspect of owning real estate. This article will attempt to explain how property taxes are calculated. I will also make an estimate for the tax rate for Marblehead for FY2016.
Let’s get started.
Tax year
The fiscal year (FY) runs from July 1 to June 30. Thus we are currently in FY2015.
What sales are used as the basis for assessments?
Assessments for the FY2015 are based upon values as of January 1, 2014, using data from calendar year 2013 sales.
It is crucial to understand this time lag. Sales occurring in 2014 will be the basis for FY2016 assessments to be announced in late 2015.
How much can taxes increase each year?
Asking this suggests you are familiar with Proposition 2 1/2, which limits the $ amount that can be raised from property taxes to a 2 1/2% increase from the prior year plus any new growth in the tax base such as new construction. Note that Prop 2 1/2 does not apply to debt exclusions or general overrides. And note also that this limit applies to the overall taxes collected, not to individual tax bills.
Click here for a brief explanation of Prop 2 1/2 on the Marblehead Town website.
Now let’s show how Marblehead’s FY2015 tax rate was calculated. Here’s a table:
The starting point is the amount of the levy for the prior year, i.e. FY2014, of $52.46 million. To this is added the allowed 2 1/2% increase and also new growth, taking the total to $54.1 million. Now add on debt exclusions of $4.9 million bringing the total levy for FY2015 to just over $59 million.
For FY2015 the total assessed value of all property – residential, commercial and personal – is $5.3 billion. Divide the tax levy, $59 million, by this $5.3 billion, and the result is a tax rate of $11.08 (per $thousand).
FY2016 Tax Rate estimate
In January this year the Town Administrator presented the FY2016 Financial Outlook to the Board of Selectmen (see AAA Marblehead). This contained projections for the tax levy for FY2016 as follows:
Now we know how much tax needs to be raised. The tax rate will be calculated by dividing this number by the Assessed Value of all real estate for FY2016, i.e. based upon sales that occurred during calendar year 2014. In 2014 the median price of a SFH in Marblehead increased by 10% while condo prices were stable. I am going to go with an 8% increase in Assessed Values to $5.75 billion.
This will give a FY2016 tax rate of …….. $10.65 vs the FY2015 rate of $11.08.The only other factor would be any additional debt exclusions approved by voters.
Bear in mind that the tax rate will depend upon the actual Assessed Values for FY2016 and these may well differ from my estimate, but I feel that $10.65 is a reasonable number at this stage.
Are overrides included in the tax rate?
In asking this question of several people I discovered that most assumed that debt exclusions and general overrides were a separate item. They are not. They are included in the tax rate that is announced each year. Here is the breakdown of the tax rate for the last three years with my estimate for FY2016:
What is the difference between a debt exclusion and general override?
Here are some quotes from the MA Department of revenue website:
“An override is a voted increase in the levy limit. The amount of the override becomes a permanent part of the levy limit base.The budgets adopted by town meetings in Massachusetts are affected by the Proposition 2 1⁄2 limitations upon local property tax levies. So-called overrides of these tax limitations,which allow for additional taxing capacity to fund the budget, may only be approved by a general referendum vote of all town residents.”
“A debt exclusion creates a temporary increase in the levy limit to fund the payment of debt service costs for capital projects funded by borrowing. The additional amount for the debt service is added to the levy limit for the life of the debt.”
Thus an override to fund an operating deficit becomes part of the permanent tax levy and increases occur each year from this higher base.
A debt service exclusion is temporary and disappears when the specific debt is repaid.
Marblehead’s FY2016 Financial Outlook stated: ” there is no need to consider any permanent overrides to fund the town’s operating budget. This has been the case now for 10 years.”
What does Marblehead’s debt exclusion cover?
By far the largest proportion (72%) of the FY2015 exclusion of $4.9 million relates to school costs at MHS, Village and Glover. Next at 17% is the Causeway Seawall. The balance of 11% comes from a variety of sources including the new fire truck, Lead Mills, Stoney Brook clean up, and the Landfill/Transfer Station work.
What effect would general overrides have on the tax rate?
Marblehead’s annual budget is around $70 million (property taxes contribute about three-quarters of the total revenue raised). What if MHD had a budget shortfall and asked residents to vote for a $1 million override? The next table shows the impact if this were to happen for three years in a row:
While it is highly unlikely to impossible that this would happen in Marblehead for a number of reasons, you can see the impact sustained deficits could have on a town’s tax rate.
Conclusion
Low tax rates don’t just happen: they are the result of wise and prudent financial management by a town and a concerned and involved citizenry. In Marblehead we have both.
GO PATS !!!!!!!!!
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Luxury condo shortage in Boston !
It may come as a surprise – it did to me – but despite the booming luxury condo market in the last few years, Boston is actually facing a shortage of luxury condos, according to this article Luxury condo shortage – believe it or not by Scott Van Vorhis on boston.com. (more…)
Reasons to Sell your Home in Winter
Today’s Boston Globe carries this article Why selling in winter may be a good idea.
In addition to the benefits mentioned – less inventory means less competition for sellers, while those buyers who are out there are serious – I would add that mortgage rates have dropped sharply already this year and are not far off record lows. See my Mortgage rates: how low can they go? post from yesterday. (more…)
AAA Marblehead: Finances stay in the Black
New town Administrator, and former Finance Director, John McGinn presented the FY2016 (July 2015 – June 2016) Financial Outlook this week.
The headlines are:
– Marblehead is one of just 22 Massachusetts communities rated AAA by Standard & Poors
– As has been the case for the past 10 years there is “no need to consider any permanent (tax) overrides to fund the town’s operating budget.”
– Marblehead enjoys “No deficits; strong budget oversight; and appropriate revenue estimates, all of which allow us to avoid fiscal emergencies.”
– 78% of the Budget revenues derive from property taxes, 9% from State Aid, 5% from local receipts (excise taxes, permits etc.) and 8% from free cash and enterprise payments.
This presentation will form the basis of the formal Budget to be voted at Town Meeting on May 4th.
Here is the Marblehead FY16 Budget presentation. (more…)
Salem Housing Market 2014 Review
Here are the highlights for the Salem market for 2014. Note the difference between the SFH and condo markets when compared with the prior peak.
Single Family Homes (SFH)
– the median SFH price increased 7% to $346,750, less than 1% below the 2005 peak of $349,000.
– sales dropped 7% to 210, still the 3rd highest year this century
– the ASR* fell sharply from 92.5% to 82.9%, an indication of rising prices
Condos
– the median condo price also increased 7% to $247,000, but is still more than 11% below the peak of $279,000 in 2005
– sales were down slightly and are still well below the levels seen in the 2003-06 period
– the ASR* fell from 92.3% to 86.2%, an indication of rising prices
Tax rate
– the FY2015 tax rate is $16.41, a decrease from $16.73 in FY2014, but the average tax bill will increase nearly 5% or by $227 for SFHs.
I will publish a fuller market report in the near future.
* The ASR is the Assessed Value (AV) divided by the Sales Price (SP).If the ASR is below 100% it means that properties are selling for more than their AV. Conversely, properties selling below their AV will have an ASR above 100%.
– As we all hope our properties are worth more than the AV we look for an ASR below 100% as a positive sign. In a period of rising prices the ASR is likely to be falling. So what we, as homeowners, want is an ASR below 100% and falling
– Remember that AVs are a lagging indicator: the tax bills just announced for FY2015 are based on actual sales in 2013. Thus the 2014 sales data, reported in this review, will be the basis for FY2016 assessments. And remember, also, that falling tax rates rarely translate into falling tax bills!
– I will be publishing a report in the near future on the average tax bill per city and town in Essex County to go with my recent Essex County 2015 property tax rates report.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home, or have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Essex County Housing Market 2014 Review
Here are the highlights for the Essex County market for 2014. Note the difference between the SFH and condo markets when compared with the prior peak.
Single Family Homes (SFH)
– the median SFH price increased 3% to $380,000, which is 4% below the 2005 peak of $394,000.
– sales dipped very slightly, while non-distressed sales increased modestly
Condos
– the median condo price increased nearly 5% to $252,000, beating the prior peak of $246,000 in 2005
– sales were down slightly and are still well below the levels seen in the 2003-06 period
Tax rates
– for FY2015 23 cities and towns have announced a reduction in the tax rate while in 11 towns the rate has been increased. Note that a reduction in the tax rate does not imply a reduction in the tax bill. I will be publishing a report in the near future on the average tax bill per city and town in Essex County to go with my recent Essex County 2015 property tax rates report.
I will also publish a fuller market report in the near future.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home, or have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Do Real Estate Agents Work over New Year?
Well it seems that some do and some don’t.
The starting point of all my data is MLS and so the timing of my reports depends on when real estate agents update their pending listings to actual closed sales, or change the anticipated sale date. Agents in Beverly , Marblehead and Swampscott are clearly hard workers and I have published reports on those markets. There are, of course, other markets where I am sure the same applies but I do not publish individual stats on all 351 cities and towns! (more…)
Beverly 2014 housing market: steady progress
Here are the highlights for the Beverly market for 2014.
Single Family Homes (SFH)
– the median SFH price increased 3.3% to $380,000, which is 5% below the peak of $400,000 in 2004
– sales increased to 329, the best year since 2004
– the ASR* fell sharply from 92.5% to 82.9%, an indication of rising prices
Condos
– the median condo price increased 4.2% to $237,500, which is 7% below the peak of $255,000 in 2005
– sales were down slightly and are still well below the levels seen in the 2004-07 period
– the ASR* fell from 94.9% to 87.5%, an indication of rising prices
Tax rate
– the FY2015 tax rate is $14.11, a slight decrease from $14.16 in FY2014. (more…)
Swampscott housing market steady in 2014; condo sales explode
Here are the highlights of the market in Swampscott in 2014.
Single Family Homes (SFH)
– the median price eased 0.5% to $440,000, still down 15% from the 2005 peak of $517,300
– sales were up slightly to 168, but that was the best sales number since 2004
– the Assessed Value to Sales Ratio (ASR*) declined from 87.8% to 84.8%.
Condos
– the median price increased 4% to $267,500, still down 6% from the 2005 high
– sales exploded to 74, almost double the 40 of 2013 and more than the prior peak years (this century) of 70 in 2005 and 2006
– the ASR increased slightly from 80.9% to 82.7%.
Property Taxes
– While the tax rate for FY2015 has dropped from $18.70 to $17.15, the average tax bill will increase by 4% or $352. (more…)
Essex County 2015 property tax rates
FY2015 tax rates have now been announced for all 34 Essex County cities and towns. As usual, they show wide variations: for residential property, from$10.84 in Manchester to $20.56 in Amesbury; and for commercial, from $10.84 in Manchester to $33.58 in Lynn.
There have also been significant differences in the changes for tax rates for FY2015, ranging from a decrease of 14% in Wenham to an increase of 14% in Georgetown.
Recall that FY2015 tax assessments are based on values at January 1, 2014, using 2013 sales information; and that Proposition 2 1/2 limits the amount that can be raised through property taxes. In general, when assessed values increase, tax rates go down. But even when the tax rate goes down tax bills usually increase.
Here are the tax rates for the last 4 years for each city or town. The rate for FY2015 applies for the entire year to June 30, 2015, so the 3rd and 4th quarter tax bills will be adjusted for any changes occurring from the new rate.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Would you prefer an 8% property tax rate cut or no change?
Would you rather your property tax rate went down 8% or stayed the same?
The answer may not be obvious. Look at Marblehead and Swampscott for FY2015:
In both towns the average tax bill will increase 4%, but the average $ increase will be $309 in Marblehead and $352 in Swampscott.
Because Proposition 2 1/2 limits the increase in the amount that can be raised through property taxes, when assessed values increase, tax rates generally go down.
FY2015 tax rates are based on values as of January 1, 2014, so reflect prices in calendar year 2013. In 2013 the median sale price in Swampscott increased 11% vs a 5% increase in Marblehead.
In 2014, however, the median sale price in Swampscott was flat while it increased 10% in Marblehead.
Thus, other things being equal, the outlook for FY2016 is for the tax rate in Swampscott to tick up while Marblehead should see a decent reduction.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty
Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Swampscott 2015 property tax rate drops 8%
The good news for Swampscott property owners is that the residential tax rate for FY2015 has dropped 8% from $18.70 to $17.15. The driver of the lower tax rate was a 9% increase in the average assessed value.
The bad news is that the average tax bill will increase 4%, or $352, from $8,593 to $8,945, and that Swampscott has the second highest tax rate in Essex County.
Nevertheless, the headline tax rate decrease should be of some benefit to the perception of Swampscott in 2015.
If you – or somebody you know – are considering buying or selling a home and have questions about the market and/or current home prices, feel free to contact me on 617.834.8205 or [email protected].
Andrew Oliver is a Realtor with Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
You can REGISTER to receive email alerts of new posts on the right hand side of the home page at www.OliverReports.com.
@OliverReports
Marblehead Home Sales best since 2004
This week’s closed sales took the year’s total to 238, the best since 2004. Based on anticipated sales dates the full year will come in around 245.
(more…)How has the housing market in Middlesex County compared with Essex?
Recently, in response to two of my articles Where have all the condo sellers gone? and Homes for sale in Essex County plummet, a reader wondered whether the numbers would be different for Middlesex County. With the latter containing towns closer to Boston, I suspect the question was whether Middlesex would show stronger results than Essex. (more…)
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