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Inventory remains at record low levels

March 1, 2021 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Latest News

Pictures are worth a thousand words:

Housing Inventory
Housing Inventory (more…)

Essex County Housing Inventory: how low can you go?

January 3, 2021 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Latest News, Market Reports

A picture is worth a thousand words:

Housing Inventory
Housing Inventory

Comment
The market in recent months has been characterised by the twin challenges of reduced inventory and increased demand, with buyers from Boston and beyond adding to local demand; and both aided by record low mortgage rates.

We are back to the most basic economic equation: when demand exceeds supply, prices rise. In housing, that often results in bidding wars, as we are seeing frequently now.

Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Essex County 2021 Property Tax Rates: Town by Town guide
How Marblehead’s 2021 Property Tax Rate is Calculated
Are you thinking of moving to Southwest Florida?

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

Licensed Sales Agent in Florida

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Salem, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

What are the lessons of low inventory?

December 12, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Latest News

First of all, how low is low? Let’s look at current inventory by price:

Inventory

It is staggering to think that in a town like Marblehead, with over 6,250 Single Family Homes, there are just 12 currently for sale. It is a seasonally low period, but the average in the last 5 years has been almost 4 times as many.

What messages can we draw from this? Here are a few thoughts: (more…)

Essex County housing inventory plunges even further

December 5, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News

Single Family Homes
After years of decline, the number of SFHs for sale in Essex County on the first of the month compared with a year earlier (YOY) increased from August 2018 until June 2019. The decline then resumed, and has accelerated throughout 2020:

(more…)

Market still active while inventory remains low

November 8, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Latest News

The number of Single Family Homes (SFH) in Essex County receiving offers recovered strongly from May onwards, and for the last several months has been ahead of 2019. YTD numbers are now slightly ahead of  2019 levels. The numbers would have been even stronger in recent months but for the chronic shortage of supply.

Accepted offers

Single Family Homes
After years of decline, the number of SFHs for sale in Essex County on the first of the month compared with a year earlier (YOY) increased from August 2018 until June 2019. The decline then resumed, and has accelerated in 2020:

The next two charts (the first for January to June; the second July to December) show the number of SFHs for sale on the first of the month since 2018. In the first chart the numbers for 2020 YOY show the renewed decline (in 2019 inventory was increasing in the first 6 months of the year).

The second chart shows the decline YOY each month since July 2019 (note the decline both from 2018 to 2019 and again, much sharper, from 2019 to 2020).

Condos
The number of condos for sale increased YOY from June 2018 until August 2019, but since then there has been a decline which has accelerated somewhat in 2020:


These two charts show numbers since 2018 for January to June, and July to December.

The first chart shows the decline in 2020 YOY, while in 2019 inventory was increasing in the first 6 months of the year.

The second chart shows inventory has been declining since October 2019, with the rate of decline accelerating in 2020..

Supply
While the overall inventory of 1 month of supply remains well below the 6 months traditionally regarded as representing a market in equilibrium. While supply as usual becomes freer the higher the price bracket, it is notable that it does not exceed the traditional gauge of  a market in equilibrium – 6 months of supply – until prices reach $2 million.

Comment
The market in recent months has been characterised by the twin challenges of reduced inventory and increased demand, with buyers from Boston adding to local demand; and both aided by record low mortgage rates.

We are back to the most basic economic equation: when demand exceeds supply, prices rise. In housing, that often results in bidding wars, as we are seeing frequently now.

Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?
Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics: Q3 GDP growth

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver

REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated

No improvement in Inventory in October

October 4, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Latest News, Market Reports

The number of Single Family Homes (SFH) in Essex County receiving offers recovered strongly from May onwards, and for the last four months has been ahead of 2019. YTD numbers are now very similar to 2019 levels. The numbers would have been even stronger in recent months but for the chronic shortage of supply.

Accepted Offers

 

Single Family Homes
After years of decline, the number of SFHs for sale in Essex County on the first of the month compared with a year earlier (YOY) increased from August 2018 until June 2019. The decline then resumed, and has accelerated in 2020:

 

 

The next two charts (the first for January to June; the second July to December) show the number of SFHs for sale on the first of the month since 2018. In the first chart the numbers for 2020 YOY show the renewed decline (in 2019 inventory was increasing in the first 6 months of the year).

The second chart shows the decline YOY each month since July 2019 (note the decline both from 2018 to 2019 and again, much sharper, from 2019 to 2020).

Condos
The number of condos for sale increased YOY from June 2018 until August 2019, but since then there has been a decline which has accelerated somewhat in 2020:

Housing Inventory
These two charts show numbers since 2018 for January to June, and July to December.

The first chart shows the decline in 2020 YOY, while in 2019 inventory was increasing in the first 6 months of the year.

The second chart shows inventory has been declining since October 2019, with the rate of decline accelerating in 2020..

Supply
While the overall inventory of 1 month of supply remains well below the 6 months traditionally regarded as representing a market in equilibrium, supply as usual becomes freer the higher the price bracket.

 

Comment
The market in recent months has been characterised by the twin challenges of reduced inventory and increased demand, with buyers from Boston adding to local demand; and both aided by record low mortgage rates.

We are back to the most basic economic equation: when demand exceeds supply, prices rise. In housing, that often results in bidding wars, as we are seeing frequently now. My Q3 market reports will be published shortly and will make interesting reading.

Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver

REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated

List of all properties currently available for sale

September 19, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Latest News

New listings are seeing tremendous competition, and inventory is way down compared with a year ago. Buyers need to look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no obvious reason. Here is the summary of current inventory:

Inventory

Click on these links for full details:
Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFH For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale

Properties currently for sale

September 12, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News

New listings are seeing tremendous competition, and inventory is way down compared with a year ago. Buyers need to look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no obvious reason. Here is the summary of current inventory:

Inventory
 

Click on these links for full details:
Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFH For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale

Housing Inventory chronically low while demand is strong

September 5, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Latest News, Market Reports

The number of Single Family Homes (SFH) in Essex County receiving offers, while still down 10% from the 2019 number YTD, recovered strongly from May onwards, and for the last three months has been ahead of 2019. The numbers would have been even stronger in recent months but for the chronic shortage of supply.

Accepted offers

 

Single Family Homes
After years of decline, the number of SFHs for sale in Essex County on the first of the month compared with a year earlier (YOY) increased from August 2018 until June 2019. The decline then resumed, and has accelerated in 2020:

Inventory

The next two charts (the first for January to June; the second July to December) show the number of SFHs for sale on the first of the month since 2017. In the first chart the numbers for 2020 YOY show the renewed decline (in 2019 inventory was increasing until June).

Housing Inventory

The second chart shows the decline YOY each month since July 2019.

Condos
The number of condos for sale increased YOY from June 2018 until August 2019, but since then there has been a consistent decline which has accelerated somewhat in 2020:

Inventory
These two charts show numbers since 2017 for January to June, and July to December.

The first chart shows the decline in 2020 YOY, while in 2019 inventory was increasing in the first 6 months of the year.

Condo Inventory

The second chart shows inventory has been declining since October 2019, with the rate of decline accelerating in 2020..

 

Inventory

Supply
The scarcity of supply has become even more pronounced, with less than one month at all price levels up to $1 million, while it remains abundant at the top end:

Housing Supply

 

Comment
The market in recent weeks has been characterised by the twin challenges of diminished inventory and increased demand, with buyers from Boston adding to local demand, both aided by record low mortgage rates.

We are back to the most basic economic equation: when demand exceeds supply, prices rise. In housing, that often results in bidding wars, as we are seeing frequently now.

Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver

REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated

Latest list of available properties

August 29, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News

New listings are seeing tremendous competition, and inventory is way down compared with a year ago. Buyers need to look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no obvious reason. Here is the summary of current inventory:

Inventory

 

Click on these links for full details:
Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFH For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale

List of Properties Available for sale

August 22, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Marblehead News, Swampscott Housing Market

New listings are seeing tremendous competition, and inventory is way down compared with a year ago. Buyers need to look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no obvious reason. Here is the summary of current inventory:

Inventory

 

Click on these links for full details:
Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFH For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale

Currently available properties

August 15, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Latest News

With new listings seeing tremendous competition, buyers should also look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no obvious reason. Inventory, however, remains chronically low. Here is the summary:

Inventory

Click on these links for full details:
Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFH For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale

Housing Inventory – what inventory?

August 2, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News, Latest News, Market Reports

The number of Single Family Homes (SFH) in Essex County receiving offers, while still down 10% from the 2019 number YTD, recovered strongly from May onwards, and then ran into supply problems in July (the numbers for July will be updated early next week and will increase slightly):

Accepted Offers

Single Family Homes
After years of decline, the number of SFHs for sale in Essex County on the first of the month compared with a year earlier (YOY) increased from August 2018 until June 2019. The decline then resumed, and has accelerated in 2020:

The next two charts (the first for January to June; the second July to December) show the number of SFHs for sale on the first of the month since 2017. In the first chart the numbers for 2020 YOY show the renewed decline (in 2019 inventory was increasing until June).

Housing Inventory

The second chart shows the decline YOY each month since July 2019.

Inventory

Condos
The number of condos for sale increased YOY from June 2018 until August 2019, but since then there has been a consistent decline which has accelerated somewhat in 2020:

Inventory
These two charts show numbers since 2017 for January to June, and July to December.

The first chart shows the decline in 2020 YOY, while in 2019 inventory was increasing in the first 6 months of the year.

Condo Inventory

The second chart shows inventory has been declining since October 2019.

Essex Condos

Supply
Once again, the pattern of supply is consistent: very scarce at lower price levels and abundant at the top end:

Housing supply

Comment
The market in recent weeks has been characterised by the twin challenges of diminished inventory and increased demand, with buyers from Boston added to local demand, both aided by record low mortgage rates.

We are back to the most basic economic equation: when demand exceeds supply, prices rise. In housing, that often results in bidding wars, as we are seeing frequently now.

Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver

REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated

Properties currently available for sale

August 1, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Latest News, Market Reports

With new listings seeing tremendous competition, buyers should also look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no apparent reason. Inventory, however, remains chronically low. Here is the summary:

Click on these links for full details:
Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFH For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Mortgage rates dip below 3% – where to next?

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale

List of currently available properties

July 5, 2020 · by Andrew Oliver · in Essex County Housing News

With new listings seeing tremendous competition, buyers should also look at the list of all available properties as sometimes properties get overlooked for no apparent reason.
I am posting each week details of all houses and condos currently available for sale (and the links below continually update). Different arrangements are being made for viewing so please contact me to see what is possible. The market is very active at the moment with the number of Accepted Offers back to 2019’s level, despite the fact the inventory is down 35-40%.

Marblehead SFHs For Sale
Marblehead Condos For Sale

Swampscott SFH For Sale
Swampscott Condos For Sale

Salem SFHS For Sale
Salem Condos For Sale

Beverly SFHs For Sale
Beverly Condos For Sale

Lynn SFHs For Sale
Lynn Condos For Sale

Inventory chronically low; demand booming
Goodbye Boston, Hello Marblehead
Accepted Offers soaring and roaring

“If you’re interested in Marblehead, you have to visit the blog of Mr. Andrew Oliver, author and curator of OliverReports.com. He’s assembled the most comprehensive analysis of Essex County we know of with market data and trends going back decades. It’s a great starting point for those looking in the towns of Marblehead, Sale, Beverly, Lynn and Swampscott.”

Andrew Oliver
Market Analyst | Team Harborside | teamharborside.com
REALTOR®

Sagan Harborside Sotheby’s International Realty
One Essex Street | Marblehead, MA 01945
m 617.834.8205

www.OliverReports.com
[email protected]

Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark licensed to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates LLC. Each Office Is Independently Owned and Operated

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